The Pakistan Meteorological Department has warned that most parts of the country are likely to receive below-normal rainfall and experience above-normal temperatures over the next three months, including June.
The situation may increase the risk of heatwaves, water shortages, and challenges for the agriculture sector.
In its latest seasonal outlook, the Met Office said that Pakistan recorded an average rainfall of 22.4 millimetres in May 2026, which is about 10 per cent below normal. The average temperature during the month stood at 29.2°C, which was 0.8°C higher than usual.
Region-wise data showed mixed patterns. Punjab received 29.7 millimetres of rainfall, which was 19 per cent above normal.
In contrast, Sindh remained extremely dry with only 0.3 millimetres of rain, marking a 91 per cent deficit. Balochistan also experienced a 71 per cent shortfall in rainfall, while Gilgit-Baltistan received 33 per cent more rain than average.
For June 2026, the Met Office forecast said rainfall is expected to remain normal to slightly below normal in most parts of the country.
The largest shortfall is likely in north-eastern Punjab, Kashmir, and adjoining areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. However, Gilgit-Baltistan and the upper parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa may receive above-normal rainfall.
The department said that the El Niño phenomenon in the Pacific Ocean has become active again and is likely to persist in the coming months. At the same time, the Indian Ocean Dipole remains in a neutral phase. These climate conditions may lead to an uneven distribution of rainfall across different regions.
The Met Office further warned that temperatures across Pakistan are expected to remain above normal during June. Northern regions, including Gilgit-Baltistan, Kashmir, and upper Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, may experience noticeable warming. Meanwhile, southern Punjab, Sindh, and the plains of Balochistan are likely to face intense heat and a higher risk of heatwaves.
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